Sondaje Primarie Bucuresti
Ultimul sondaj publicat pe 2025-12-05
Rezultate Finale — 7 Decembrie 2025
Ciprian Ciucu (PNL)36.1%
Anca Alexandrescu (AUR)21.9%
Daniel Băluță (PSD)20.5%
Cătălin Drulă (USR)13.9%
Ana Maria Ciceală5.8%
Alții1.64%
Analiza Acurateții Institutelor de Sondare
Ultimele sondaje înainte de alegerile locale din 7 Decembrie 2025 — eroare absolută față de rezultatul real
| Institut | Perioadă | Candidat
favorizat | Ciucu36.1% | Alexandrescu21.9% | Băluță20.5% | Drulă13.9% | Ciceală5.8% | Alții1.6% | Eroare medie ↑ |
|---|
| INSCOP | 02–03 Dec | Băluță+7.7 | -9.0 | -0.9 | +7.7 | -2.8 | +1.1 | +4.1 | 4.3 | |
| Sociopol | 25–30 Nov | Băluță+6.5 | -11.1 | -1.9 | +6.5 | +1.1 | ✓ | +5.4 | 4.4 | |
| FlashData | 26–27 Nov | Alții+4.7 | -11.2 | -1.8 | +2.3 | +4.6 | +1.6 | +4.7 | 4.4 | |
| AtlasIntel | 01–05 Dec | Ciceală+4.2 | -15.9 | +2.1 | +3.4 | +1.4 | +4.2 | +1.4 | 4.7 | |
| CURS-Avangarde | 04 Dec | Drulă+7.1 | -12.1 | -3.9 | +6.5 | +7.1 | -0.8 | +3.4 | 5.6 | |
| ARA | 25 Nov–02 Dec | Alții+10.4 | -12.1 | -3.9 | +5.5 | +6.1 | — | +10.4 | 7.6 | |
Cum se citește:Plafonul tabelului prezintă rezultatul oficial la alegeri. Rândurile arată cu cât a deviat procentajul fiecare institut (Delta).
✓Acuratețe excelentă (< 0.3% eroare pe candidat)
Medii sondaje — alegeri locale București
Medii ponderate ale celor mai recente sondaje
Alexandrescu
Anca Alexandrescu
Evoluția sondajelor — Primăria București
Medii ponderate ale sondajelor pentru primăria Bucureștiului
Linia verticală marchează rezultatul real al alegerilor locale din 7 Decembrie 2025. Punctele colorate pe linie reprezintă procentele oficiale.
Toate sondajele
Atlas Intel2025-12-05
Alexandrescu24.0%Băluță23.9%Ciucu20.2%Drulă15.3%Ciceală10.0%
CURS-Avangarde2025-12-04
Băluță27.0%Ciucu24.0%Drulă21.0%Alexandrescu18.0%Ciceală5.0%
INSCOP2025-12-03
Băluță28.0%Ciucu27.0%Alexandrescu21.0%Drulă11.0%Ciceală7.0%
ARAi2025-12-02
Băluță26.0%Ciucu24.0%Drulă20.0%Alexandrescu18.0%
Atlas Intel2025-11-30
Băluță23.3%Alexandrescu23.2%Ciucu21.7%Drulă15.5%Ciceală8.4%Gheorghe0.9%
CURSi2025-11-30
Băluță26.0%Ciucu23.0%Drulă22.0%Alexandrescu17.0%Ciceală7.0%
Sociopoli2025-11-30
Băluță27.0%Ciucu25.0%Alexandrescu20.0%Drulă15.0%Ciceală6.0%Gheorghe2.0%
FlashData2025-11-27
Ciucu24.9%Băluță22.8%Alexandrescu20.1%Drulă18.5%Ciceală7.4%Gheorghe2.1%
CIRA2025-11-26
Băluță24.0%Ciucu21.0%Alexandrescu19.0%Drulă18.0%Ciceală5.0%Gheorghe5.0%Zidaru3.0%Teodorovici2.0%
FlashData2025-11-19
Ciucu21.5%Băluță20.5%Drulă19.0%Alexandrescu18.0%Ciceală7.0%Zidaru3.5%Gheorghe1.5%
INSCOP2025-11-19
Băluță26.6%Ciucu24.2%Alexandrescu19.1%Drulă11.6%Ciceală6.5%Zidaru3.5%Gheorghe1.7%
Atlas Intel2025-11-14
Ciucu19.2%Băluță18.6%Drulă18.1%Alexandrescu17.9%Ciceală7.1%Zidaru2.8%Gheorghe2.6%
CURSi2025-11-14
Băluță27.0%Drulă22.0%Ciucu22.0%Alexandrescu15.0%Zidaru5.0%Ciceală3.0%Gheorghe2.0%
Avangardei2025-11-07
Băluță24.0%Ciucu21.0%Drulă20.0%Alexandrescu17.0%Gheorghe5.0%Ciceală4.0%Zidaru4.0%
ICCB2025-11-05
Drulă25.0%Alexandrescu20.0%Băluță19.0%Ciucu13.0%Zidaru6.0%Ciceală3.0%
Novel2025-10-31
Ciucu26.4%Băluță24.5%Drulă18.7%Alexandrescu15.0%Ciceală4.9%
Avangardei2025-10-25
Băluță25.0%Ciucu23.0%Drulă18.0%Alexandrescu16.0%Gheorghe4.0%Ciceală3.0%Zidaru2.0%
CURSi2025-10-17
Băluță25.0%Drulă18.0%Ciucu18.0%Alexandrescu10.0%Zidaru5.0%Ciceală3.0%Gheorghe3.0%
INSCOP2025-08-31
Băluță26.2%Ciucu23.8%Alexandrescu21.2%Drulă18.4%Ciceală8.5%
Avangardei2025-08-30
Băluță25.0%Ciucu25.0%Drulă20.0%Alexandrescu18.0%Gheorghe5.0%Ciceală2.0%
| Institut | Perioada ↓ | Esantion | Băluță | Drulă | Ciucu | Alexandrescu | Ciceală | Gheorghe | Zidaru | Teodorovici | Alții |
|---|
Atlas Intel | 2025-12-01 — 2025-12-05 | 2,188 | 23.9% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 24.0% | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
CURS-Avangarde | 2025-12-04 — 2025-12-04 | 1,382 | 27.0% | 21.0% | 24.0% | 18.0% | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
INSCOP | 2025-12-02 — 2025-12-03 | 1,200 | 28.0% | 11.0% | 27.0% | 21.0% | 7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
ARAi | 2025-11-25 — 2025-12-02 | 1,082 | 26.0% | 20.0% | 24.0% | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Atlas Intel | 2025-11-27 — 2025-11-30 | 2,964 | 23.3% | 15.5% | 21.7% | 23.2% | 8.4% | 0.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
CURSi | 2025-11-26 — 2025-11-30 | 1,031 | 26.0% | 22.0% | 23.0% | 17.0% | 7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Sociopoli | 2025-11-25 — 2025-11-30 | 1,002 | 27.0% | 15.0% | 25.0% | 20.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
FlashData | 2025-11-26 — 2025-11-27 | 1,200 | 22.8% | 18.5% | 24.9% | 20.1% | 7.4% | 2.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
CIRA | 2025-11-20 — 2025-11-26 | 1,182 | 24.0% | 18.0% | 21.0% | 19.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | N/A |
FlashData | 2025-11-18 — 2025-11-19 | 1,200 | 20.5% | 19.0% | 21.5% | 18.0% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | N/A | N/A |
INSCOP | 2025-11-17 — 2025-11-19 | 1,107 | 26.6% | 11.6% | 24.2% | 19.1% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | N/A | N/A |
Atlas Intel | 2025-11-12 — 2025-11-14 | 2,429 | 18.6% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | N/A | N/A |
CURSi | 2025-11-03 — 2025-11-14 | 1,100 | 27.0% | 22.0% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 5.0% | N/A | N/A |
Avangardei | 2025-11-02 — 2025-11-07 | 1,080 | 24.0% | 20.0% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | N/A | N/A |
ICCB | 2025-11-01 — 2025-11-05 | 1,100 | 19.0% | 25.0% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 3.0% | N/A | 6.0% | N/A | N/A |
Novel | 2025-10-24 — 2025-10-31 | 1,001 | 24.5% | 18.7% | 26.4% | 15.0% | 4.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Avangardei | 2025-10-19 — 2025-10-25 | 1,000 | 25.0% | 18.0% | 23.0% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | N/A | N/A |
CURSi | 2025-10-08 — 2025-10-17 | 1,072 | 25.0% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | N/A | N/A |
INSCOP | 2025-08-01 — 2025-08-31 | 1,107 | 26.2% | 18.4% | 23.8% | 21.2% | 8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Avangardei | 2025-08-22 — 2025-08-30 | 1,070 | 25.0% | 20.0% | 25.0% | 18.0% | 2.0% | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |